A Closer Look at Scoring Functions and Generalization Prediction

Generalization error predictors (GEPs) aim to predict model performance on unseen distributions by deriving dataset-level error estimates from sample-level scores. However, GEPs often utilize disparate mechanisms (e.g., regressors, thresholding functions, calibration datasets, etc), to derive such error estimates, which can obfuscate the benefits of a particular scoring function. Therefore, in this work, we rigorously study the effectiveness of popular scoring functions (confidence, local manifold smoothness, model agreement), independent of mechanism choice. We find, absent complex mechanisms, that state-of-the-art confidence- and smoothness- based scores fail to outperform simple model-agreement scores when estimating error under distribution shifts and corruptions. Furthermore, on realistic settings where the training data has been compromised (e.g., label noise, measurement noise, undersampling), we find that model-agreement scores continue to perform well and that ensemble diversity is important for improving its performance. Finally, to better understand the limitations of scoring functions, we demonstrate that simplicity bias, or the propensity of deep neural networks to rely upon simple but brittle features, can adversely affect GEP performance. Overall, our work carefully studies the effectiveness of popular scoring functions in realistic settings and helps to better understand their limitations.Comment: Accepted to ICASSP 202

PAGER: A Framework for Failure Analysis of Deep Regression Models

Safe deployment of AI models requires proactive detection of potential prediction failures to prevent costly errors. While failure detection in classification problems has received significant attention, characterizing failure modes in regression tasks is more complicated and less explored. Existing approaches rely on epistemic uncertainties or feature inconsistency with the training distribution to characterize model risk. However, we show that uncertainties are necessary but insufficient to accurately characterize failure, owing to the various sources of error. In this paper, we propose PAGER (Principled Analysis of Generalization Errors in Regressors), a framework to systematically detect and characterize failures in deep regression models. Built upon the recently proposed idea of anchoring in deep models, PAGER unifies both epistemic uncertainties and novel, complementary non-conformity scores to organize samples into different risk regimes, thereby providing a comprehensive analysis of model errors. Additionally, we introduce novel metrics for evaluating failure detectors in regression tasks. We demonstrate the effectiveness of PAGER on synthetic and real-world benchmarks. Our results highlight the capability of PAGER to identify regions of accurate generalization and detect failure cases in out-of-distribution and out-of-support scenarios

Accurate and Scalable Estimation of Epistemic Uncertainty for Graph Neural Networks

Safe deployment of graph neural networks (GNNs) under distribution shift requires models to provide accurate confidence indicators (CI). However, while it is well-known in computer vision that CI quality diminishes under distribution shift, this behavior remains understudied for GNNs. Hence, we begin with a case study on CI calibration under controlled structural and feature distribution shifts and demonstrate that increased expressivity or model size do not always lead to improved CI performance. Consequently, we instead advocate for the use of epistemic uncertainty quantification (UQ) methods to modulate CIs. To this end, we propose G-$\Delta$UQ, a new single model UQ method that extends the recently proposed stochastic centering framework to support structured data and partial stochasticity. Evaluated across covariate, concept, and graph size shifts, G-$\Delta$UQ not only outperforms several popular UQ methods in obtaining calibrated CIs, but also outperforms alternatives when CIs are used for generalization gap prediction or OOD detection. Overall, our work not only introduces a new, flexible GNN UQ method, but also provides novel insights into GNN CIs on safety-critical tasks.Comment: 22 pages, 11 figure

Analyzing Data-Centric Properties for Graph Contrastive Learning

Recent analyses of self-supervised learning (SSL) find the following data-centric properties to be critical for learning good representations: invariance to task-irrelevant semantics, separability of classes in some latent space, and recoverability of labels from augmented samples. However, given their discrete, non-Euclidean nature, graph datasets and graph SSL methods are unlikely to satisfy these properties. This raises the question: how do graph SSL methods, such as contrastive learning (CL), work well? To systematically probe this question, we perform a generalization analysis for CL when using generic graph augmentations (GGAs), with a focus on data-centric properties. Our analysis yields formal insights into the limitations of GGAs and the necessity of task-relevant augmentations. As we empirically show, GGAs do not induce task-relevant invariances on common benchmark datasets, leading to only marginal gains over naive, untrained baselines. Our theory motivates a synthetic data generation process that enables control over task-relevant information and boasts pre-defined optimal augmentations. This flexible benchmark helps us identify yet unrecognized limitations in advanced augmentation techniques (e.g., automated methods). Overall, our work rigorously contextualizes, both empirically and theoretically, the effects of data-centric properties on augmentation strategies and learning paradigms for graph SSL.Comment: Accepted to NeurIPS 202

Fairness-Aware Graph Neural Networks: A Survey

Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) have become increasingly important due to their representational power and state-of-the-art predictive performance on many fundamental learning tasks. Despite this success, GNNs suffer from fairness issues that arise as a result of the underlying graph data and the fundamental aggregation mechanism that lies at the heart of the large class of GNN models. In this article, we examine and categorize fairness techniques for improving the fairness of GNNs. Previous work on fair GNN models and techniques are discussed in terms of whether they focus on improving fairness during a preprocessing step, during training, or in a post-processing phase. Furthermore, we discuss how such techniques can be used together whenever appropriate, and highlight the advantages and intuition as well. We also introduce an intuitive taxonomy for fairness evaluation metrics including graph-level fairness, neighborhood-level fairness, embedding-level fairness, and prediction-level fairness metrics. In addition, graph datasets that are useful for benchmarking the fairness of GNN models are summarized succinctly. Finally, we highlight key open problems and challenges that remain to be addressed